国家现代农业示范区建设影响粮食生产韧性的作用机制及政策效应

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Abstract Against the backdrop of intensifying global climate change, geopolitical conflicts, and increasing market volatility, enhancing grain production resilience has become a central issue in achieving national food security and sustainable agricultural development. Based on unbalanced panel data from 2,649 counties in China from 2011 to 2022, this study employs a difference-in-differences (DID) model to systematically assess the impact of the National Modern Agricultural Demonstration Zone (NMADZ) on grain production resilience and its underlying mechanisms. The results show that the construction of NMADZ significantly enhances grain production resilience. The strengthening effect is particularly pronounced in major grain-producing and production-consumption balanced regions, economically developed areas, eastern and central regions, and areas with relatively low rural labor endowment. NMADZ enhances grain production resilience by coordinating regional agricultural resources, promoting the efficient flow of production factors to optimize resource allocation efficiency, and by advancing modern agricultural technologies and strengthening organized production to improve agricultural productivity. Therefore, it is essential to systematically optimize the agricultural factor allocation mechanism, guide resources toward major and high-efficiency grain-producing areas, and improve supportive systems such as land transfer, agricultural services, and technological support, thereby continuously enhancing resource allocation efficiency and production efficiency, and fully unleashing the strategic role of NMADZ in reinforcing grain production resilience.

Key words： national modern agricultural demonstration zone construction grain production resilience food security agricultural modernization difference-in-differences model

Received: 10 April 2025

PACS:

F326

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	LI Shao-lin
	MA Li

Cite this article:

LI Shao-lin,MA Li. The Mechanism and Policy Effects of National Modern Agricultural Demonstration Zone Construction on Grain Production Resilience[J]. , 2025, 42(3): 5-11.

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https://xb.szu.edu.cn/EN/ OR https://xb.szu.edu.cn/EN/Y2025/V42/I3/5

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