Abstract:With the financial development of China and that of 31 provinces from 1993 to 2015 as explanatory variable, with the urbanization level of each province of our country as explained variable, this paper makes empirical analysis of the dynamic spillover effect of financial development on China’s urbanization under the influence of such control variables as economic development level, income gap between urban and rural areas, export dependence, proportion of secondary industry, proportion of tertiary industry, and human capital. The findings show that from national and provincial level, financial development has significant spatial spillover effects on China’s urbanization. That means financial development in each province not only promotes the urbanization in that province, but also affects the urbanization of neighboring provinces. At the same time, the spatial spillover effect of financial development has, to some extent, affected the relationship among provinces in terms of urbanization. Therefore, in the development of towns, each province shall attach great importance to the financial development level, the income gap between the rural and urban areas, and export dependence within the province, and give full consideration to the impact of relevant policies in neighboring provinces on its urban development.
[1] Stopher, Peter R. Intercity Passenger Forecasting: the Use of Current Travel Forecasting Procedures [M].Transportation Research Forum,1993. [2] Kyung-Hwan Kim. Improving Local Government Finance in a Changing Environment[M].Habitat International,1997. [3] Seong-Hoon Cho, Junjie Wu, William G.Boggess. Measurlng interactions among urbanization, land use regulations, and public finance[J].American Journal of Agricultural Econom-ics,2003,85,(5):988-999. [4] Cheng-Gang Li. Empirical analysis of the dynamic relationship between urbanization and Financial development in Guizhou Province, China[J].Journal of Discrete Mathematical Sciences & Cryptography,2016,19,(3):811-820. [5] 张宗益,许丽英.金融发展与城市化进程[J].中国软科学,2006,(10):112-120. [6] 梁彭勇,梁平,任思慧.中国金融发展与城市化关系的区域差异[J].上海金融,2008,(2):14-17. [7] 陈立泰,刘倩.我国西部地区金融集聚与城镇化互动关系实证分析[J].城市问题,2012,(9):17-22. [8] 艾华丰,冯尔捷.金融发展、城市化与城乡收入差距的作用机制及协整分析[J].经济研究导刊,2010,(32):14-16. [9] 谷小菁,王定祥.中国金融发展与城市化进程[J].金融理论与实践,2011,(9):69-74. [10] 邵光清,谢云.中国金融发展与城镇化进程动态互动关系——基于面板VEC模型分析[J].武汉金融,2013,(10):31-33. [11] 陈志伟.金融发展对城镇化影响的实证研究——以河南省为例[J].经济经纬,2014,(6):7-13. [12] 陈志刚,吴腾.金融发展与城市化是如何互动的——基于1997—2014年中国省级面板数据的实证研究[J].中南民族大学学报(人文社会科学版),2017,(1):125-132. [13] 林光平,龙志和,吴梅.我国地区经济收敛的空间计量实证分析:1978—2002年[J].经济学,2005,(1):71-86. [14] J Elhorst.Spatial panel data models[M].In: M Fischer,A Getis(eds) Handbook of Applied Spatial Analysis, Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg and New York,2010. [15] L Anselin,LGallo,HJayet.Spatial panel econometrics[M].In: LMatyas, PSevestre(eds) The Econometrics of Panel Data, Fundamentals and Recent Developments in Theory and Practice,3rd ed. Dordrecht: Kluwer,2006. J Elhorst.Spatial panel data models[M].In: M Fischer,A Getis(eds) Handbook of Applied Spatial Analysis,Springer,Berlin,Heidelberg and New York,2010. [16] J Le Sage,R Pace. Introduction to Spatial Econometrics [M].Taylor & Francis, Inc.2009.