Dynamic Impact of International Trade upon Chinese Labor Market
Zhao Chunming1, Wang Chunhui2
1.College of Economics and Business Administration, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875 2.College of International Trade, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan, Shandong, 255014
Abstract：Since reform and opening up, China has undergone tremendous development in international trade, which leads to economic growth, per capita income increase, and better employment. International trade absorbs much surplus labor in China, especially by way of processing trade, and provides an effective way for China to export surplus labor, create jobs, and increase people’s income in a particular historic period. Probing into the annual sequential information from 1980 to 2013, we find that the processing trade has only short-term impact on employment, whereas long-term effect is unsustainable. The key to resolving the issue is to nurture new edge in international economic competition, give an impetus to the transformation and upgrading of trade and industrial structure, consistently move up to the top of the global value chain, seek to secure a larger chunk in the profit distribution so as to make our foreign trade enterprises more competitive to achieve a balanced and steady relationship between foreign trade and labor market in the long run.
赵春明, 王春晖. 对外贸易对中国劳动力市场的动态冲击分析[J]. 《深圳大学学报》（人文社科版）, 2015, 32(5): 50-58.
Zhao Chunming, Wang Chunhui. Dynamic Impact of International Trade upon Chinese Labor Market. , 2015, 32(5): 50-58.
[1] Vernon,R.International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1966,80（2）：190-207. [2] Feenstra R.C.,Hanson,G.H.Foreign Investment,Outsourcing and Relative Wage[R].NBER Working Paper,1995. [3] Dornbusch,R.,Fischer,S.,Samuelson,P.A.Heckscher-Ohlin Trade Model With a Continuum of Goods[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1980：203-224. [4] 刘瑶,孙浦阳.外包拉大了工资差距吗?——基于行业技术特定性的理论与实证分析[J].南开经济研究,2012,（05）：36-50. [5] 刘翠翠,卫平.垄断竞争、产业内贸易与相对工资差距[J].世界经济研究,2012,（02）：45-50. [6] Kohler,W.,A Specific View on Outsourcing[J].North Amer-ican Journal of Economics and Finance,2001,12：31-53. [7] Feenstra,R.C.,Hanson,G.H.The Impact of Outsourcing and High-Technology Capital on Wages：Estimates for the U.S.,1979-1990[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1999, 114（3）：907-940. [8] 牛蕊.国际贸易对工资与就业的影响：中国工业部门的经济研究[D].南开大学,2009. [9] 赵莹.中国的对外开放和收入差距[J].世界经济文汇,2003,（4）：55-70. [10] 项松林,赵曙东,魏浩.农业劳动力转移与发展中国家出口结构：理论与中国经验研究[J].世界经济,2014,(3)：80-103. [11] Johansen,S.Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegr-ation Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models[J].Econometrica,1991,59（6）：1551-80. [12] Johansen S, Juselius K. Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration——With Applications to the Demand for Money[J]. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1990, 52(2):169-210. [13] Johansen,S.Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models[J].Oxford University,1995,14（4）：517-524.
2015, Vol. 32 
粤公网安备44030502007936号